I think it has potential and will get better. My concern is the private sector wants to use it now like its fully matured and its just not. Got to work out the energy usage to.

Linus Torvalds out here describing capitalism.

Damn he is old

I disagree on the only 10%. But I see why he believes so. If you’ve been into similar topics for a while, like machine learning, AI doesn’t objectively do so much more. Then you have countless examples of AI providing wrong informations. However this understates how often real people give wrong informations and how often we have to work with them and fix the issues, be it in our head of by trial and error. People really need to practice awareness to notice how often we correct errors automatically without thinking or being aware. Brains are amazing.

AI like LLMs are so new, we neither have peaked in quality nor used them long enough to understand the quirks. For a lot of people it will be like learning to drive a bike, learn swimming or learn inner peace and patient with the annoying coworker. Some won’t make it.

Also understanding AI takes time which I suspect most busy people don’t have. And I don’t even mean understanding the technical side, I mean learning on using them correctly. AI is a tool and to believe it solves all our problems now, is a bit utopic, yet it will become better and better by the day.

10% is being generous. The parts of “AI” that aren’t just an expensive way of getting exciting-looking but unreliable results are mundane things like autocorrect, image upscaling models, handwriting recognition and such: unglamorous statistical learning in narrowly constrained domains nobody would claim is on the verge of becoming sentient and spawning the Singularity.