How is it that some of you take perpetually the wrong lessons from electoral politics (not you @givesomefucks@lemmy.world, the person you are responding to).
Where are you getting these pudding headed takes?
SHE RAN WITH LIZ FUCKING CHENEY PEOPLE!!
The war criminals nepo daughter.
The name TWO GENERATIONS of voters learned to blame for the dysfunction which was Iraq and Afghanistan. A name Democratic voters were litterally conditioned to hate.
Liz Cheney, an incumbent who lost her primary with 27% of the vote. Thats who Harris decided to run with.
Just…
Just notice how technocratic and neoliberal the original take is. The idea behind it, is that you just need to line up the perfect set of identities and qualifications, and then, then they’ll win. Its the exact worm-brained thinking that gave us Hillary Clinton. That’s the way to win elections. When they fucking blow it because the person has because thats not how fucking elections work, they have an easy fucking way to wash their hands by blaming sexism.
Guys: What was her fucking platform? Can anyone in this room tell me what the FUCK Harris was actually running on? Like other than “I want to be President”, what the fuck was she proposing in 2024?
And then she ran HARD to the right. She fucking ran to the right of fucking Biden for ffs.
And like, I don’t think we should be (necessarily) talking about Harris either, but not because of her identity or race, but because she ran a dog shit fucking campaign and threw what should have been a fucking lay up with how deeply unpopular Trump is. And she blew it because she listened to people who give advice like OP. I think when you blow an election like she did, any one, you just gotta go away from electoralism, like (thankfully) Hillary did.
But don’t stop giving us ladies to run. Run Warren again. Run AOC. Run Porter. But jesus christ stop pretending that voters base their entire fucking vote on the identity of the candidate as an excuse to run dogshit neoliberal campaigns.
Liz Cheney, an incumbent who lost her primary with 27% of the vote.
Just to put that in context, she lost her primary because she dared to side with both the public and the Democratic party in opposition to the insurrection. She lost her primary because MAGA hates her. I’m not defending the choice to bring her up on stage on the campaign trail, but I don’t think this particular fact really helps your argument.
I mean. It drives it home completely. Its the whole point practically. She was deeply unpopular with Republicans. So what did bringing her, and the other Republicans that the campaign chose to platform, into the tent; what did the campaign get for it?
What it shows is the level of understanding of electoralism and the electorate campaign had. Time and space are limited. Politics is a transactional game. Who does the campaign decide to platform and how? Who do they get for surrogates? What is it they are trying to gain when they do the things they do. Who is a thing working on, or at least, who is it intended to work on?
Liz Cheney. An A+ scoring “pro-life”, anti-abortion Republican was who Harris thought was one of the most important figures to dedicate substantial amounts of campaign time to. At a time when women had just seen the literal physical rights to their own body stripped away from them.
So who was “being got” by platforming Cheney?
Like I get it. You think platforming her says this thing over here. And maybe it does, it also says this thing over here. I’m putting it out there as “one more baffling and catastrophic decision”, which was a baffling and catastrophic decision at the time it was being made, and that is the rub. Harris is not a victim of circumstance. She had a 1.5 billion dollar warchest at her disposal. She spent it platforming a failed republican politician from one of the most hated political dynasties of all time.
If you can just break down further why you think the Cheney example doesn’t support, I’m interested. I have my suspicions as to why you think that, but I want to hear what you have to say first. I’m going to write my answer in a spoiler tag below, but please don’t click until you respond (or do, whatever).
spoiler
I think OP is making the same assumption that the Democrats, old school Republicans and most American political “wisdom” makes about the unimodality of political identity. Specifically, its the concept that voters exist along a single dimension of variation. Its why so much political strategy is built around going after “centrist” voters; however, I reject this alleged political wisdom because as a theory, it hasn’t predicted voter behavior. While voters might exist on a spectrum in high dimensional space, when we dimensionally reduce that we don’t end up with a smooth or continuous function, but rather a more discrete pattern emerges. There are modalities of high concentrations of voters at certain spaces [christian, gun, Texas], [lgbt, skiing, California], etc…, more like a graph model,
My argument is that the reduction of political identity to a single dimension sets you up to be unable to predict voter patterns and behavior. The thinking that voters exist primarily in one dimension is an artifact of old ways of thinking, which leads you to targeting the “center of mass” of a distribution, when actually, the distribution is multi-modal and not zero centered.
Deeply unpopular with MAGA Republicans. In the wake of the insurrection there was a real chance to pull the Republican party out of MAGA voters’ hands and they blew it.
So what did bringing her, and the other Republicans that the campaign chose to platform, into the tent; what did the campaign get for it?
I think they wanted to show that it was ok for Republican-leaning voters to abandon Trump and that they (the Harris campaign) welcomed Republicans shifting left (serving on the select committee and supporting Trump’s impeachment was certainly a shift left for an otherwise pro-MAGA politician). They clearly didn’t get anything for it.
You think platforming her says this thing over here.
No the Harris/Walz campaign thought that.
If you can just break down further why you think the Cheney example doesn’t support, I’m interested.
I don’t disagree with your overall point about platforming Cheney or the Harris campaign shifting right. I just think Cheney lost her primary because she was perceived by the MAGA voters to have shifted left on policy.
You think platforming her says this thing over here.
No the Harris/Walz campaign thought that.
No but like, you have an interpretation of what platforming her says or means. I do too. The campaign also does. So does everyone who reads it as a news headline. I wasn’t specific on what that thing was, just that, we all interpret it as saying “something”.
Kamala Harris toned down her attacks on big business, she made no plans to improve America’s health care system other than vague promises to cancel debt, touted the endorsement of war criminal Dick Cheney who wanted to invade seven countries in five years and whom was partially responsible for the deaths of over a million, spent half as much time focusing on the most important issues during her campaign compared to Trump, and touted a Fortune 500 investment banking company‘s endorsement for her economic plans which made her look like an out of touch elitist especially when said company can only be described as a “great vampire squid wrapped around the face of humanity, relentlessly jamming its blood funnel into anything that smells like money”.
All Harris brought to the table was “freedom” meanwhile Trump came out with populist rhetoric and people seemed to like Trump’s rhetoric more considering that they have long since become disillusioned with the Status Quo.
Voters rejected Biden during a primary so hard he dropped out
No they didn’t. The primaries were over and he won them. He dropped out like 6 weeks after the primaries were over, and he won them (second place was Uncommitted with 4.25% of the votes). Credible candidates just generally don’t contest an incumbent president, and contested conventions generally don’t produce a winning nominee.
If a woman loses even 1-2% of the vote simply due to Misogyny, they’re at a massive disadvantage. If you don’t think Misogyny exists in the “independent” voters or even in the solidly democratic voters, you’re not paying attention to reality and pretending the world is better than it actually is.
You are not the arbiter of what reality is. Representative Zooey Zephyr flipped 27 Republican votes in an extremely conservative state with the power of rhetoric. So don’t tell me that people cant be convinced to vote differently. Sure sexism exist. Yes mysogeny exists. Yes, absolutely, there are structural disadvantages to being a woman running for any elected position. But like… Thats not what 2024 was. Its an intentional blindness to the deep failings the Harris campaign and Harris the candidate.
I don’t like it. Id love an AOC or Crockett type to run. But people just fall SO HARD for right wing misogynistic bullshit. So many people around me justified their vote with ‘she slept to the top’ and other complete bullshit. I genuinely lack the faith in our electorate I really do.
She COMPLETELY fumbles the ball on an UTTER LAY UP of a fucking question. You are on a national fucking interview in an extremly compressed election run, and you dont have a fucking answer to that question?
She could have said something dumb like “Yeah put the toilet seat down in the white house bathroom” and gotten a laugh. Say he should have gone further with infrastructure or he should have fought harder. But jesus christ in a fucking change election where the incumbent was POLLING IN THE LOW THIRTIES, YOU SAY YOU WOULD DO NOTHING DIFFERENT?
How did Obama win? He ran on a platform of systemic change and healthcare reform. He made change his primary message and sent that down your throat. He didn’t deliver and he droned the shit of a bunch of kids, but that’s how he won
How did Kamala lose? Same way Hilary did. Not because they’re women. Because they ran shit neoliberal campaigns pandering to centrists and conservatives rather than trying to capture disillusioned workers who are desperate for change
Trump voters make up like 27% of voting eligible population
Sure, if we ignore the historical data, a woman at the top of the Democratic ticket 100% has a real shot at winning the White House.
AOC is obviously one of the only people within the party who gives a damn, and is fighting - but putting her on the ticket isn’t going to end well at this moment in history. Voters are clearly terrified to not have an old white man in the Oval Office
Sure, if we ignore the historical data, a woman at the top of the Democratic ticket 100% has a real shot at winning the White House.
During the past two times that a woman has run for president, it has been in a time in which people want change. In both cases, we’ve had a centrist candidate who represents the untenable status quo.
All the “a woman can’t win” line does is hold back all women because democrats don’t want a particular woman to be able to run.
Not even then. Magas are trying to kick women out of positions in their own party etc. Some of them are talking openly about how only strong white men can lead.
The sad thing is how right this is. It would take a tremendous amount of dumb luck for anyone other than a white dude to win in this political environment, as much as I’d like to see otherwise.
Just run a white dude. Sucks to say but that’s where our imbecilic nation lays. A white dude that isn’t 100 ffs
Bullshit, rejecting Hillary and Kamala does not mean women can’t win.
Voters rejected Biden during a primary so hard he dropped out despite him and the DNC assuring everyone it was over and literally no one still in it
Does that mean an old white neoliberal can’t win?
Policy might not matter. But rhetoric does. And it will have been 20 years next presidential elections since Dems ran one with popular rhetoric
Why not try that again?
jfc christ exactly.
How is it that some of you take perpetually the wrong lessons from electoral politics (not you @givesomefucks@lemmy.world, the person you are responding to).
Where are you getting these pudding headed takes?
SHE RAN WITH LIZ FUCKING CHENEY PEOPLE!!
The war criminals nepo daughter.
The name TWO GENERATIONS of voters learned to blame for the dysfunction which was Iraq and Afghanistan. A name Democratic voters were litterally conditioned to hate.
Liz Cheney, an incumbent who lost her primary with 27% of the vote. Thats who Harris decided to run with.
Just…
Just notice how technocratic and neoliberal the original take is. The idea behind it, is that you just need to line up the perfect set of identities and qualifications, and then, then they’ll win. Its the exact worm-brained thinking that gave us Hillary Clinton. That’s the way to win elections. When they fucking blow it because the person has because thats not how fucking elections work, they have an easy fucking way to wash their hands by blaming sexism.
Guys: What was her fucking platform? Can anyone in this room tell me what the FUCK Harris was actually running on? Like other than “I want to be President”, what the fuck was she proposing in 2024?
And then she ran HARD to the right. She fucking ran to the right of fucking Biden for ffs.
And like, I don’t think we should be (necessarily) talking about Harris either, but not because of her identity or race, but because she ran a dog shit fucking campaign and threw what should have been a fucking lay up with how deeply unpopular Trump is. And she blew it because she listened to people who give advice like OP. I think when you blow an election like she did, any one, you just gotta go away from electoralism, like (thankfully) Hillary did.
But don’t stop giving us ladies to run. Run Warren again. Run AOC. Run Porter. But jesus christ stop pretending that voters base their entire fucking vote on the identity of the candidate as an excuse to run dogshit neoliberal campaigns.
Just to put that in context, she lost her primary because she dared to side with both the public and the Democratic party in opposition to the insurrection. She lost her primary because MAGA hates her. I’m not defending the choice to bring her up on stage on the campaign trail, but I don’t think this particular fact really helps your argument.
I mean. It drives it home completely. Its the whole point practically. She was deeply unpopular with Republicans. So what did bringing her, and the other Republicans that the campaign chose to platform, into the tent; what did the campaign get for it?
What it shows is the level of understanding of electoralism and the electorate campaign had. Time and space are limited. Politics is a transactional game. Who does the campaign decide to platform and how? Who do they get for surrogates? What is it they are trying to gain when they do the things they do. Who is a thing working on, or at least, who is it intended to work on?
Liz Cheney. An A+ scoring “pro-life”, anti-abortion Republican was who Harris thought was one of the most important figures to dedicate substantial amounts of campaign time to. At a time when women had just seen the literal physical rights to their own body stripped away from them.
So who was “being got” by platforming Cheney?
Like I get it. You think platforming her says this thing over here. And maybe it does, it also says this thing over here. I’m putting it out there as “one more baffling and catastrophic decision”, which was a baffling and catastrophic decision at the time it was being made, and that is the rub. Harris is not a victim of circumstance. She had a 1.5 billion dollar warchest at her disposal. She spent it platforming a failed republican politician from one of the most hated political dynasties of all time.
If you can just break down further why you think the Cheney example doesn’t support, I’m interested. I have my suspicions as to why you think that, but I want to hear what you have to say first. I’m going to write my answer in a spoiler tag below, but please don’t click until you respond (or do, whatever).
spoiler
I think OP is making the same assumption that the Democrats, old school Republicans and most American political “wisdom” makes about the unimodality of political identity. Specifically, its the concept that voters exist along a single dimension of variation. Its why so much political strategy is built around going after “centrist” voters; however, I reject this alleged political wisdom because as a theory, it hasn’t predicted voter behavior. While voters might exist on a spectrum in high dimensional space, when we dimensionally reduce that we don’t end up with a smooth or continuous function, but rather a more discrete pattern emerges. There are modalities of high concentrations of voters at certain spaces [christian, gun, Texas], [lgbt, skiing, California], etc…, more like a graph model,
My argument is that the reduction of political identity to a single dimension sets you up to be unable to predict voter patterns and behavior. The thinking that voters exist primarily in one dimension is an artifact of old ways of thinking, which leads you to targeting the “center of mass” of a distribution, when actually, the distribution is multi-modal and not zero centered.
Deeply unpopular with MAGA Republicans. In the wake of the insurrection there was a real chance to pull the Republican party out of MAGA voters’ hands and they blew it.
I think they wanted to show that it was ok for Republican-leaning voters to abandon Trump and that they (the Harris campaign) welcomed Republicans shifting left (serving on the select committee and supporting Trump’s impeachment was certainly a shift left for an otherwise pro-MAGA politician). They clearly didn’t get anything for it.
No the Harris/Walz campaign thought that.
I don’t disagree with your overall point about platforming Cheney or the Harris campaign shifting right. I just think Cheney lost her primary because she was perceived by the MAGA voters to have shifted left on policy.
No but like, you have an interpretation of what platforming her says or means. I do too. The campaign also does. So does everyone who reads it as a news headline. I wasn’t specific on what that thing was, just that, we all interpret it as saying “something”.
An unbelievably true take.
Kamala Harris toned down her attacks on big business, she made no plans to improve America’s health care system other than vague promises to cancel debt, touted the endorsement of war criminal Dick Cheney who wanted to invade seven countries in five years and whom was partially responsible for the deaths of over a million, spent half as much time focusing on the most important issues during her campaign compared to Trump, and touted a Fortune 500 investment banking company‘s endorsement for her economic plans which made her look like an out of touch elitist especially when said company can only be described as a “great vampire squid wrapped around the face of humanity, relentlessly jamming its blood funnel into anything that smells like money”.
All Harris brought to the table was “freedom” meanwhile Trump came out with populist rhetoric and people seemed to like Trump’s rhetoric more considering that they have long since become disillusioned with the Status Quo.
Preach.
Fat lot of good it’ll likely do, but still.
No they didn’t. The primaries were over and he won them. He dropped out like 6 weeks after the primaries were over, and he won them (second place was Uncommitted with 4.25% of the votes). Credible candidates just generally don’t contest an incumbent president, and contested conventions generally don’t produce a winning nominee.
If a woman loses even 1-2% of the vote simply due to Misogyny, they’re at a massive disadvantage. If you don’t think Misogyny exists in the “independent” voters or even in the solidly democratic voters, you’re not paying attention to reality and pretending the world is better than it actually is.
You are not the arbiter of what reality is. Representative Zooey Zephyr flipped 27 Republican votes in an extremely conservative state with the power of rhetoric. So don’t tell me that people cant be convinced to vote differently. Sure sexism exist. Yes mysogeny exists. Yes, absolutely, there are structural disadvantages to being a woman running for any elected position. But like… Thats not what 2024 was. Its an intentional blindness to the deep failings the Harris campaign and Harris the candidate.
I don’t like it. Id love an AOC or Crockett type to run. But people just fall SO HARD for right wing misogynistic bullshit. So many people around me justified their vote with ‘she slept to the top’ and other complete bullshit. I genuinely lack the faith in our electorate I really do.
jfc thats not why she lost.
This is why she lost:
She COMPLETELY fumbles the ball on an UTTER LAY UP of a fucking question. You are on a national fucking interview in an extremly compressed election run, and you dont have a fucking answer to that question?
She could have said something dumb like “Yeah put the toilet seat down in the white house bathroom” and gotten a laugh. Say he should have gone further with infrastructure or he should have fought harder. But jesus christ in a fucking change election where the incumbent was POLLING IN THE LOW THIRTIES, YOU SAY YOU WOULD DO NOTHING DIFFERENT?
it’s sad, but true.
The only way we are getting a woman in the White House is when MAGA convinces Ivanka to run.
This is such dumb rhetoric
How did Obama win? He ran on a platform of systemic change and healthcare reform. He made change his primary message and sent that down your throat. He didn’t deliver and he droned the shit of a bunch of kids, but that’s how he won
How did Kamala lose? Same way Hilary did. Not because they’re women. Because they ran shit neoliberal campaigns pandering to centrists and conservatives rather than trying to capture disillusioned workers who are desperate for change
Trump voters make up like 27% of voting eligible population
Things have changed dramatically since Obama. Much of it in direct response to Obama’s success.
“Women can’t win” is just an excuse to shut out AOC.
Sure, if we ignore the historical data, a woman at the top of the Democratic ticket 100% has a real shot at winning the White House.
AOC is obviously one of the only people within the party who gives a damn, and is fighting - but putting her on the ticket isn’t going to end well at this moment in history. Voters are clearly terrified to not have an old white man in the Oval Office
During the past two times that a woman has run for president, it has been in a time in which people want change. In both cases, we’ve had a centrist candidate who represents the untenable status quo.
All the “a woman can’t win” line does is hold back all women because democrats don’t want a particular woman to be able to run.
There isn’t anything more to it.
👍
Not even then. Magas are trying to kick women out of positions in their own party etc. Some of them are talking openly about how only strong white men can lead.
She could win if she’d get more in line with Porter policies. And keep them.
How about Buttigieg?
White straight dude. Who isn’t 100.
Secretary Mayor Pete would kill it but he could never get elected.
The sad thing is how right this is. It would take a tremendous amount of dumb luck for anyone other than a white dude to win in this political environment, as much as I’d like to see otherwise.
Do you want President Gavin Newsom, then?
Probably, look at the state of how Democrats are courting more republicans and giving every demand and cabinet pick to the Republicans.
Mark and/or Scott Kelly.