Author: Lorcan Lovett
Published on: 19/04/2025 | 00:00:00

AI Summary:
Myanmar remains gripped by a civil war and after four years of fighting the military regime finds itself increasingly encircled. The impact of the quake could prove decisive for the conflict in the coming year. It flattened houses, factories, Buddhist pagodas, apartment blocks and brought down bridges. Two civilians, including a 13-year-old girl, died from bombing by military aircraft on April 10. Sagaing-based PDF fighter said rebel units pivoted to relief efforts in central Myanmar. PDF forces expect fighting to intensify after the April truce is over. The rebel Arakan Army (AA) has clashed with the military’s forces around the state capital Sittwe and Kyaukphyu. The AA has simultaneously pushed out of its home territory in the west of the country and into Myanmar’s central heartlands in Magwe, Bago and Ayeyarwady regions. Chin resistance forces recently gained control of Falam township in western Myanmar. Political analyst Kyaw Hsan Hlaing said the military is still grappling with the aftermath of the earthquake. “In the long term, the earthquake is unlikely to fundamentally shift the balance of power in Myanmar,” he said. The number nine has auspicious symbolism in Buddhist tradition. Richard Horsey, senior Myanmar adviser at the International Crisis Group, said the fact that his inner circle takes them seriously creates real vulnerability. Political analyst Kyaw Hsan Hlaing said some sources suggest beliefs in the quake as a portent of collapse for military rule may be used to push the narrative that the regime needs to “act decisively to regain control” The earthquake has also “done enormous damage to the basic fabric of Myanmar” Horsey said Mandalay’s residents are potentially facing relocation due to extensive housing damage. The powerful ethnic armed groups involved in the conflict will probably be even more unwilling to negotiate for peace with the military following the

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