Just two months ago, Biden said that the invasion of Rafah is a “red line” Israel must not cross.
Archived version: https://archive.ph/96pmD
Banning young people’s favorite app and then doubling down on the genocide is not the sort of strategy that wins elections.
So you are ready to vote for his competition?
Yes! I have voted third party and intend on continuing.
Man I fucking hate to have to do this to all the Biden apologists on lemmy who let it get this far, but we told you so.
Thanks. You’ve handed the election to trump.
i’m going to copy/paste this to the only 2 comments this thread is getting:
if you look at the up/down votes the last half dozen biden/gaza threads on the fediverse over 100, you’ll see that there’s nearly 2:1 votes in favor of biden perpetuation genocide.
the fediverse was started by tankies and is, arguably, the most left leaning social media platform out there and even here, moderates dominate the conversation.
add to that the fact that the democratic party is successfully using abortion to get votes and rfk jr is a much bigger threat to trump than biden; it’s pretty clear that biden will win not matter what.
i’ll leave this quote from mlk jir because it helps me accept this thing that i cannot change:
I have been gravely disappointed with the white moderate. I have almost reached the regrettable conclusion that the Negro’s great stumbling block in the stride toward freedom is not the White Citizen’s Council-er or the Ku Klux Klanner, but the white moderate who is more devoted to “order” than to justice; who prefers a negative peace which is the absence of tension to a positive peace which is the presence of justice; who constantly says “I agree with you in the goal you seek, but I can’t agree with your methods of direct action;” who paternalistically feels he can set the timetable for another man’s freedom; who lives by the myth of time and who constantly advises the Negro to wait until a “more convenient season.”
Shallow understanding from people of goodwill is more frustrating than absolute misunderstanding from people of ill will. Lukewarm acceptance is much more bewildering than outright rejection.
I think the quote about the “white liberal” more interested in the negative peace of order is incredibly salient. I’ve been thinking very very deeply about this quote over the last several months.
add to that the fact that the democratic party is successfully using abortion to get votes and rfk jr is a much bigger threat to trump than biden; it’s pretty clear that biden will win not matter what.
I appreciate your optimism but I think this is less certain than you make it out to be. I think you need to take these assumptions to the electoral college map and actually game it out. Specifically, without pivoting on Gaza, I argue that Biden has lost Wisconsin, Michigan, and Minnesota. They demonstrated their willingness to step back from Biden, and Biden has only gotten worse since then. He held onto those states by a shoestring in 2020.
Thats 35 electoral votes. So where does Biden make those up on abortion rights? What states does Biden flip into his favor. Florida? (yea fucking right) Texas? (blue as my balls waiting for this state to turn purple).
Like show me on a map where these electoral college votes that Biden has gained are coming from and we can have that conversation. Otherwise, you don’t actually have an argument because the popular vote is irrelevant, and whining about winning the popular vote while losing the electoral college isn’t an argument either.
My read of the electoral college map is that we’re basically locked into the state it was in for 2016 and 2020. I don’t see anything fundamentally different going into 2024. So the question becomes, what states flip from 2020?
Like show me on a map where these electoral college votes that Biden has gained are coming from and we can have that conversation. Otherwise, you don’t actually have an argument because the popular vote is irrelevant, and whining about winning the popular vote while losing the electoral college isn’t an argument either.
the argument comes from midterm election results where red safety states went blue when they were bombarded with pro-abortion political adds. this article from npr goes into a deeper dive and also has a link to the exit poll results from those midterm elections: https://www.npr.org/2024/05/02/1248599739/abortion-democrats-independents-republicans-voting-2024-election
additionally: presidential elections also usually go blue so a popular vote win is also likely for biden. (this is so well known that some red states like texas hold their gubernatorial elections on off presidential year elections to avoid this phenomenon).
finally: my goal wasn’t to spread optimism; i was trying to share something that helps give me peace with our situation with someone who has expressed the same concern i’ve been having in a thread that the fediverse is trying to now trying to ignore.
I asked for what specific states are going to flip on abortion rights. Your article does not cover that.
the article that the i shared with you has a link showing the exit polls.
tldr: it all the states that voted blue where they were expected to go red; including georgia, pennsylvania, nevada, & arizona
All of those states were blue in 2020. None of those represent a pickup based on abortion.
read the articles: they were expected to go red for congress and didn’t, that’s the point.
Dear “journalists”, if your headline contains the word “slams”, I just assume it’s a poorly written article and I don’t read it
Slams them with the door until they’re dead
In this case, it’s more literal than figurative. Cops did slam people to the ground, both students and elderly professors alike.
Way to go asshole, you just handed the election to trump.
i’m going to copy/paste this to the only 2 comments this thread is getting:
if you look at the up/down votes the last half dozen biden/gaza threads on the fediverse over 100, you’ll see that there’s nearly 2:1 votes in favor of biden perpetuation genocide.
the fediverse was started by tankies and is, arguably, the most left leaning social media platform out there and even here, moderates dominate the conversation.
add to that the fact that the democratic party is successfully using abortion to get votes and rfk jr is a much bigger threat to trump than biden; it’s pretty clear that biden will win not matter what.
i’ll leave this quote from mlk jir because it helps me accept this thing that i cannot change:
I have been gravely disappointed with the white moderate. I have almost reached the regrettable conclusion that the Negro’s great stumbling block in the stride toward freedom is not the White Citizen’s Council-er or the Ku Klux Klanner, but the white moderate who is more devoted to “order” than to justice; who prefers a negative peace which is the absence of tension to a positive peace which is the presence of justice; who constantly says “I agree with you in the goal you seek, but I can’t agree with your methods of direct action;” who paternalistically feels he can set the timetable for another man’s freedom; who lives by the myth of time and who constantly advises the Negro to wait until a “more convenient season.”
Shallow understanding from people of goodwill is more frustrating than absolute misunderstanding from people of ill will. Lukewarm acceptance is much more bewildering than outright rejection.
I keep harping on this point, if Progressives put in the effort of being a persistent voting bloc, democratic politicians would be a lot more scared of the possibility of being primaried than they are of the possibility that progressives yet again will need to be reminded how the math works on them not voting or voting third party out of spite.
This is literally how the far right captured the republican party. I sign my name in Arabic, 30 years ago that would have been an easy guess that I voted republican, along with most Latine and Asian folks. Persistent electoral projection is how the right took the party that marketed itself as the big tent for all traditional values in america and turned it into the Racist Chrisnats we deal with at present. Had the left put in the same effort over the same period of time, Bernie would be considered a party establishment leader.
I keep harping on this point, if Progressives put in the effort of being a persistent voting bloc, democratic politicians would be a lot more scared of the possibility of being primaried than they are of the possibility that progressives yet again will need to be reminded how the math works on them not voting or voting third party out of spite.
voter suppression and gerrymandering; coupled with moderates’ lack of interest; have guaranteed that there will never be a reliable progressive voting bloc.
latinos, as a whole, have always favored democratic candidates and have been trending towards republicans in the last 3 decades; but are still solidly democratic voters. however, that ratio of democrat to republican favorability changes drastically when you focus on the specific origin of each latino group.
Yeah it’s pretty disturbing. But I definitely disagree with you that Biden is for sure going to win. Looking at polls and just in general how apathetic people are about these candidates I don’t see how you can think that a Biden second term is a sure thing by any stretch of the imagination.
rfk jr and the 2022 election results supports my assertion
Final phase, now where have I heard something similar?
I’m voting for the wizard
