Your comment is well written, but completely unrelated. I said the prediction markets are more accurate then polls (I even found a paper for you), and you reply with an article about “How sometimes it’s hard to determine a result of a bet”, which isn’t applyable here, since election results are well defined. You then continue to rant about predictive markets, but nothing about their accuracy. And BTW, I agree with you.

If I’m wrong, could you please clarify, how their accuracy is connected to their morality?

So, X-Ray?

It’s quite misleading to say 14 when it’s only March. That said, the drop to 120 last year is still alarming.

Paying people based on the value they create? Are you a socialist?

But what about his soul

Except these markets were usually more accurate then polls. Don’t get me wrong, I hate them and I laughed at people betting that Trump would receive more votes. But the market was right, not the polls.

I watched some documentaries about Earth Liberation Front, and feel like something similar is coming. But instead of saving environment, it would be about saving privacy and democracy. And it will end the same. Immediate recognition as domestic terrorists by the government and huge investigation to destroy the movement. Saving humanity is crime that has to be immediately stopped. And anything that supports corporations is sacred, even pedophilia.

After 2026 the chart will look different

I don’t think AI is to blame. They just don’t need those people. I heard big tech hired a lot of people to steal them from smaller businesses, so they could not compete with them. If those employees had been useful to them, they wouldn’t fire them.

What do you even mean? Calculators and LLMs are solving different problems. And there are a lot of calculators and a lot of LLMs. Also, calculator accuracy could be approaching 0% because they all have limited precision and there are infinite numbers. Some of the calculators even can’t correctly answer 0.1+0.2, while most LLMs can do that.

Because guessing correct answer is more successful than saying nothing.

The kids are stupid for wanting something that would make them happy? I would call that standard child behaviour. And parents are stupid for making their children happy? I’d rather be stupid than a bad parent.

I remember, that Russians were saying that, but according to the investigation the dam was blown up from inside? But I could be wrong here.

From what I remember, they didn’t. They tried to accuse Ukraine, but the evidence pointed to them.

I think Zelensky’s response was reasonable given the Hungary had stolen tens off milions of euros from Ukraine.

I can imagine the horse could also try to pet an employee. But how would bee do that? With its sting?

What did the bee or bird do to be banned?

I got 1654 with 1080 to go. But 4 hours ago it was 1081

Maybe losing in the short time, but getting rid of fossil dependency is in my opinion a good thing. And most of the other things have (maybe suboptimal) alternatives.

Also, now Trump has no leverage against Spain, so that’s another good thing? And its time to increase trade with China, India, etc. 😸

It’s hard to be a dictator without a support of the army or the people.