• LovableSidekick@lemmy.world
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    3 hours ago

    It’s popular enough for me already. I kind of hope it doesn’t become the online site because that will just attract trolls.

    I’ve also been using Trust Café (aka WT.Social) but I like the Lemmy UI a lot better.

  • _____@lemm.ee
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    9 hours ago

    very hot take:

    regular people will never get rid of twitter or meta, Facebook. YouTube. it’s incompatible with their psychology.

    they need to use what other people are using, they need to see “content” from their followed users

    switching to another platform will kill that for them for weeks and stall their “growth”

    to be forward thinking and to give up something you’ve had is too much for the average person

    which is why I’m on Lemmy: there’s nothing reddit offers to me that makes me “give” it up, it’s always been there but now that there’s competition it’s worth trying something new out

    I honestly think id anything Lemmy will have a slow decrease of users until it comes to a halt

    • 11111one11111@lemmy.world
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      8 hours ago

      I mean, noone used reddit 10 years ago. To a 37 year old like myself, that seems like the reddit shit blew up out of nowhere. Youtube is just a matter of time and outcome of future google break up cases before a legitimate competition comes for its industry share. FB will die with the boomers. The only one I see as a really unmovable object is Twitter because of the universal use by all major sports media/reporting/journalists. It’s the only one with end users applying the platform in any comercial sense outside of marketing. I think the question OP is asking will on the reliance of one of the other platforms falling.

      Just my opinion tho so take it with a grain of salt.

  • schnurrito@discuss.tchncs.de
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    16 hours ago

    How do you define popular? I think it already is reasonably popular, I see enough activity here that it prompts me to comment at least somewhere on most days. I think it’s going to become more popular over time.

  • Asafum@feddit.nl
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    16 hours ago

    I really don’t think so. The vast majority of internet users just stick with whatever simple thing that serves their need. Lemmy isn’t the most difficult thing, but if reddit already exists and is more popular then people won’t be leaving that for this if they haven’t already.

    The boost in people coming here last year was a “last straw” kind of deal from people using reddit who cared enough about not supporting their shit decisions, but by now that has died down and we’ve seen from recent articles that reddit “won” and they have a metric fuckton of users.

    • TranquilTurbulence@lemmy.zip
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      16 hours ago

      Things need to be really bad at Reddit before most people would consider leaving. On the other hand, Lemmy would need to be amazingly good to produce the same effect. Neither of these have happened yet, so only few people migrated.

      • TheEighthDoctor@lemmy.world
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        12 hours ago

        I think the only thing that would 100% kill Reddit is a paid subscription, anything other than that I don’t see it.

        • TranquilTurbulence@lemmy.zip
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          10 hours ago

          TV has proven that people are willing to tolerate an amazing amount of ads too. I wonder if you could crank up the ads to posts ratio to something like 90% and still have enough users.

  • Sundial@lemm.ee
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    16 hours ago

    I think the Fediverse will be popular. It’s already being adopted by Meta in the way of Threads.

    Popularity comes when major companies, like Meta, push for something to be in the mainstream. Will Lemmy be popular and be pushed for the mainstream? Probably not. The mindset of the majority of the admins is against streamlining it. It’s why we have a bunch of instances and why so many of them defederated from Threads (which I agree with). They’ve even taken steps to stop having so many people default to the .world instance in an attempt to diversify it.

  • Vespair@lemm.ee
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    16 hours ago

    I think we’re going to need to start by defining what “popular” means.

    According to https://fedidb.org/software/lemmy, there are 462,745 total Lemmy users. (Note: I know nothing about this site or their metrics; I literally just Googled “Lemmy users.”)

    If 462,745 people showed up to my birthday party, I would feel like the most popular person on the planet.

    So, I think we need to consider a less abstract figure to answer this. Will Lemmy ever be as popular as a place like Reddit? I think that’s extremely unlikely, at least not anytime soon. But will Lemmy ever be popular enough to sustain an engaged community? I dunno; I kind of think we’re already there.

    Maybe this is the old head in me, but I remember the decentralized days of the early internet, where communities weren’t oceans of people on social media giants, but rather smaller, close-knit forums and message boards. If you spent a few months interacting, you would likely get to know and have specific opinions about individual users that you would regularly engage with, unlike the sort of hit-and-run buzz style of the modern social internet. I think right now, Lemmy is almost treading a special sweet spot between the two eras, and I’m pretty happy with it.

    Although I will concede that I’m as addicted to social media as everyone else is these days, and I would certainly welcome the increase in on-the-minute activity that additional users would bring.

    • simple@lemm.ee
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      16 hours ago

      462k are the people that have created an account, Lemmy actually has ~40k active users (and even then “active” just means they logged in once this month). I do share the sentiment that not everything has to be super popular but Lemmy really could use more people.

      • Vespair@lemm.ee
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        16 hours ago

        I appreciate the clarity, thank you. As I said, I pulled a random googled number and wasn’t trying to use it as the sticking point of my commentary. But also for what it’s worth, it’s not exactly a fair comparison to the larger giants either as lemmy’s smaller scale means it is also less trafficked by bots, fake accounts, secondary novelty accounts, etc. Depending on what source you’re looking at, twitter is claimed to be anywhere between 15-75% bot or fake accounts. In general my point was there are still a large number of people using lemmy on most scales, we are just choosing to view it on the scale of established corporate social media metrics.

  • it_depends_man@lemmy.world
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    16 hours ago

    Depends, it’s been a bit disappointing to see virtually no change since I started using it, particularly in terms of QoL. It is open source, so that’s on everyone, including me, but I had hoped for more speed, etc…

    Mastodon is way better when it comes to filtering.

    Having the option of a reddit clone is pretty good though and I will stick with it. Who knows when and where it will get that critical bit of momentum.

    It’s already superior to regular forums, in my opinion, so now the question is what kind of format you want to have discussions in, instead of having to default to forums. That choice is a definite upside and I’m glad it exists.

  • NeoNachtwaechter@lemmy.world
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    16 hours ago

    No.

    They just copied redit. That included some bad decisions. Even when redit would do it better in the future, it still does not help lemmings.