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I remember thinking how “lucky” we were that COVID-19 was relatively mild, compared to say the original SARS which had a 10%+ mortality rate. This is a two edged sword though, because we shot our load on COVID-19 and too many people aren’t going to accept restrictions again. There’s a fair segment of society who will work against any efforts at public health now.
Just on statistics, it seems unlikely that in the period of time that coconuts have been floating around that they would only have made it there about the same time as explorers. Surely if they could make it there floating then they would have much earlier.